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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 12, 2021 at 3.30am UK
 
GN

El Salvador
2 - 0
Guatemala

Roldan (81'), Rivas (90+6')
Martinez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alfredo Morales Concua (32'), Carlos Pinto (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.

Result
El SalvadorDrawGuatemala
47.61%27.46%24.92%
Both teams to score 44.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15%59.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.88%80.12%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76%25.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02%59.98%
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9%40.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26%76.74%
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 47.61%
    Guatemala 24.92%
    Draw 27.45%
El SalvadorDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 13.93%
2-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 47.61%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 24.92%

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