Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%).
