Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Elversberg in this match.