SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Denmark | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Serbia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Slovenia |
58.97% ( 0.1) | 23.22% ( -0.11) | 17.8% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( 0.44) | 51.65% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( 0.38) | 73.43% ( -0.39) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 0.19) | 17.22% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% ( 0.34) | 47.5% ( -0.34) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.18% ( 0.27) | 42.82% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.86% ( 0.23) | 79.13% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Slovenia |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 58.95% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.8% |
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