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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
 

Estonia U21s
0 - 6
Poland U21s


Jarviste (56'), Soomets (71')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Bogusz (4'), Klimala (15'), Kaminski (34'), Gumny (47'), Placheta (58'), Tomczyk (81')
Kowalczyk (61'), Slisz (70')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Estonia Under-21s and Poland Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-21s win with a probability of 71.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Estonia Under-21s had a probability of 11.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Estonia Under-21s win it was 1-0 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Estonia Under-21sDrawPoland Under-21s
11.48%17.42%71.11%
Both teams to score 50.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46%39.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11%61.9%
Estonia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.6%44.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.55%80.45%
Poland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.12%9.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.25%32.75%
Score Analysis
    Estonia Under-21s 11.48%
    Poland Under-21s 71.1%
    Draw 17.42%
Estonia Under-21sDrawPoland Under-21s
1-0 @ 3.56%
2-1 @ 3.35%
2-0 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.05%
3-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 11.48%
1-1 @ 8.24%
0-0 @ 4.39%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 17.42%
0-2 @ 11.75%
0-1 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-3 @ 9.07%
1-3 @ 7.36%
0-4 @ 5.25%
1-4 @ 4.26%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-5 @ 2.43%
1-5 @ 1.97%
2-4 @ 1.73%
0-6 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 71.1%


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