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Nations League | League C
Oct 11, 2020 at 5pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
NM

Estonia
3 - 3
N. Macedonia

Sappinen (33', 61'), Liivak (76' pen.)
Pikk (40'), Baranov (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kuusk (3' og.), Pandev (80'), Zajkov (88')
Ristovski (61'), Spirovski (75'), Bardhi (88')
Coverage of the Nations League League C clash between Estonia and North Macedonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Estonia win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
EstoniaDrawNorth Macedonia
13.31%19.94%66.75%
Both teams to score 47.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64%46.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35%68.64%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.25%45.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48%81.52%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.03%12.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.54%39.46%
Score Analysis
    Estonia 13.31%
    North Macedonia 66.73%
    Draw 19.94%
EstoniaDrawNorth Macedonia
1-0 @ 4.64%
2-1 @ 3.71%
2-0 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 0.99%
3-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 13.31%
1-1 @ 9.48%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 19.94%
0-2 @ 12.37%
0-1 @ 12.11%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 6.59%
0-4 @ 4.3%
1-4 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-5 @ 1.76%
1-5 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 66.73%


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