SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Slovakia |
27.72% ( -0.41) | 25.54% ( -0.24) | 46.73% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% ( 0.74) | 50.99% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% ( 0.65) | 72.86% ( -0.65) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( 0.07) | 32.91% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% ( 0.08) | 69.48% ( -0.09) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( 0.6) | 21.82% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( 0.91) | 55.03% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estonia | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.72% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.73% |
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