Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (12.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
