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FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Goodison Park
MC

Everton
0 - 2
Man City


Allan (23'), Gomes (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gundogan (84'), De Bruyne (90')
Fernandinho (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Everton had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Everton win it was 2-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
EvertonDrawManchester City
14.93%18.95%66.13%
Both teams to score 55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72%38.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44%60.56%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64%38.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.89%75.11%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22%34.78%
Score Analysis
    Everton 14.93%
    Manchester City 66.12%
    Draw 18.95%
EvertonDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 4.23%
1-0 @ 3.96%
2-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.51%
3-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.93%
1-1 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 4.71%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.95%
0-2 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-1 @ 9.21%
0-3 @ 7.62%
1-3 @ 7.3%
0-4 @ 4.24%
1-4 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.5%
2-4 @ 1.95%
0-5 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.81%
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 66.12%

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