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League One | Gameweek 5
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
BL

Exeter
0 - 2
Birmingham


Crama (28'), Francis (63'), Woods (64'), Doyle (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Iwata (11'), Stansfield (83' pen.)
Davies (39'), Bielik (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Birmingham City

Exeter have shown some good signs at home in recent weeks, especially defensively where they have kept consecutive clean sheets. Meanwhile, Birmingham are starting to show some cracks and have conceded four goals in their last two matches, but we believe that the visitors have what it takes to get a result here, which is why we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBirmingham City
29.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 25.63% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 45.2% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0)72.47% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)31.59% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)67.99% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)22.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.81% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 29.16%
    Birmingham City 45.2%
    Draw 25.62%
Exeter CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.16%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.96% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Birmingham
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Birmingham 7-1 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bolton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One


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