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League Two | Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2020 at 1pm UK
St. James' Park
CU

Exeter
1 - 0
Carlisle

Parkes (48')
Sparkes (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Toure (60')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCarlisle United
48.69%25.93%25.39%
Both teams to score 49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.97%54.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53%75.47%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78%22.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36%55.64%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55%36.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76%73.24%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.68%
    Carlisle United 25.39%
    Draw 25.92%
Exeter CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.1%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.17%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.39%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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