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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 7, 2020 at 1pm UK
St James Park
AF

Exeter
2 - 1
Fylde

Jay (26'), Hartridge (33')
McArdle (8')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hulme (11')
(9')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Exeter City and Fylde.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawFylde
55.74%22.21%22.05%
Both teams to score 57.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37%41.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.96%64.03%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.18%14.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.89%43.1%
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41%32.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88%69.12%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 55.74%
    Fylde 22.05%
    Draw 22.2%
Exeter CityDrawFylde
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 6.28%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 3%
4-0 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 55.74%
1-1 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 5.53%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.04%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 22.05%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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