Exeter
1 - 2
Northampton

Atangana (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')

Data Analysis

Probe launched into potential "discriminatory comment" at Exeter's clash with Northampton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
53.29%	23.31%	23.41%

Both teams to score 55.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98%

45.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63%

67.37%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.15%

16.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.14%

46.86%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75%

33.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.13%

69.87%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 53.29%

Northampton Town 23.41%

Draw 23.3%

Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.29%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 5.6% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.41%