Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
