SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
52.97% ( -0.31) | 23.78% ( 0.09) | 23.24% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( -0.19) | 47.26% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( -0.17) | 69.49% ( 0.17) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( -0.19) | 17.79% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.49% ( -0.32) | 48.5% ( 0.31) |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.09) | 34.64% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% ( 0.09) | 71.36% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 23.24% |
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