Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for FC Chambly had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest FC Chambly win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
