SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
30.82% ( -0.02) | 27.34% ( -0.01) | 41.83% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.39% ( 0.04) | 56.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.41% ( 0.03) | 77.58% ( -0.03) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( 0.01) | 33.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% ( 0.01) | 70.16% ( -0.01) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( 0.04) | 26.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( 0.05) | 61.94% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.82% |
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