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FC
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
CC

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Columbus Crew

Castillo (1'), Acosta (24')
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zelarayan (45+1'), Berry (77')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
17.01%23.4%59.59%
Both teams to score 45.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.5%53.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98%75.02%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.1%44.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.15%80.85%
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34%17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72%48.28%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 17.01%
    Columbus Crew 59.57%
    Draw 23.39%
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 6.35%
2-1 @ 4.41%
2-0 @ 2.54%
3-1 @ 1.18%
3-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 17.01%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 13.74%
0-2 @ 11.91%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-3 @ 6.89%
1-3 @ 5.52%
0-4 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-5 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 59.57%

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