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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadion FK Krasnodar
SL

Krasnodar
1 - 2
Sevilla

Wanderson (56')
Suleymanov (19')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rakitic (4'), El Haddadi (90+5')
Jordan (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
FC KrasnodarDrawSevilla
36.95%25.74%37.3%
Both teams to score 55.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96%49.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88%71.12%
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14%25.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17%60.82%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34%25.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44%60.56%
Score Analysis
    FC Krasnodar 36.95%
    Sevilla 37.3%
    Draw 25.74%
FC KrasnodarDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.3%


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