SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Nordsjaelland |
44.51% ( -0.15) | 24.61% ( 0.12) | 30.88% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.66% ( -0.51) | 45.34% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.33% ( -0.49) | 67.67% ( 0.49) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( -0.28) | 20.46% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( -0.44) | 52.93% ( 0.44) |
| Nordsjaelland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( -0.23) | 27.76% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( -0.3) | 63.33% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Nordsjaelland |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.51% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.88% |
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