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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
MCH Arena
P

Midtjylland
0 - 1
PSV

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bruma (90+3')
Propper (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawPSV Eindhoven
36.16%24.99%38.85%
Both teams to score 57.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35%45.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.03%67.97%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27%24.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73%59.27%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.78%57.22%
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 36.16%
    PSV Eindhoven 38.85%
    Draw 24.98%
FC MidtjyllandDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.19%
1-0 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 0.97%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-1 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.85%

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