SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
34.21% ( 0.02) | 27.47% ( 0.03) | 38.32% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.66% ( -0.1) | 56.34% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( -0.08) | 77.37% ( 0.08) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0.03) | 31.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( -0.04) | 67.37% ( 0.04) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( -0.08) | 28.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( -0.1) | 64.3% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.32% |
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