SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.89%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Manchester United |
52.89% ( -0.08) | 21.9% ( 0.04) | 25.21% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.52% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.3% ( -0.17) | 36.7% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.14% ( -0.19) | 58.86% ( 0.19) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( -0.09) | 14.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.4% ( -0.17) | 41.6% ( 0.17) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( -0.06) | 27.27% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( -0.08) | 62.71% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.89% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.81% Total : 25.21% |
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