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F
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Groupama Arena
M

Ferencvaros
4 - 1
Malmo

Varga (8' pen., 11'), Kady (53'), Cisse (74')
Varga (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Botheim (18' pen.)
Stryger Larsen (15'), Kiese Thelin (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-3 Diosgyor
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Brommapojkarna
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Ferencvaros 2-1 Malmo

Given the number of players that are set to miss out for Malmo on Thursday, it is difficult to see how they overcome their hosts. Additionally, the visitors have been poor away from home for some time and Ferencvaros should come into the clash as favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawMalmo
51.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.79% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 25.75% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)40.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)62.76% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)15.82% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)44.99% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (0.009999999999998 0.01)64.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 51.46%
    Malmo 25.75%
    Draw 22.79%
FerencvarosDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.46%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-3 Diosgyor
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Kecskemeti TE 0-1 Ferencvaros
Sunday, November 10 at 5pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-4 Ferencvaros
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-2 Debrecen
Sunday, November 3 at 1.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Gyor 1-1 Ferencvaros
Sunday, October 27 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-0 Nice
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Brommapojkarna
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Malmo
Wednesday, November 6 at 3.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hammarby 2-2 Malmo
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Goteborg
Monday, October 28 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-1 Olympiacos
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Vasteras 1-1 Malmo
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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