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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
IL

Fiorentina
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Amrabat (60'), Martinez (75'), Pulgar (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barella (31'), Perisic (52')
Perisic (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
21.47%21.82%56.71%
Both teams to score 57.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.4%40.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.01%62.98%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46%32.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93%69.07%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84%14.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.16%41.83%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 21.47%
    Inter Milan 56.71%
    Draw 21.82%
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 5.68%
1-0 @ 5.17%
2-0 @ 2.9%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.08%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 21.47%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 4.61%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-1 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 8.8%
1-3 @ 6.44%
0-3 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 3.62%
1-4 @ 3.15%
0-4 @ 2.8%
2-4 @ 1.77%
1-5 @ 1.23%
0-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 56.71%

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