SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Fredrikstad |
28.57% ( 0.01) | 25.94% ( 0.01) | 45.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( -0.04) | 52.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.04) | 73.85% ( 0.04) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.02) | 32.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( -0.02) | 69.43% ( 0.02) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( -0.03) | 22.87% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( -0.04) | 56.61% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Fredrikstad |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.48% |
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