Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between FK Zalgiris and Paide.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.