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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Oct 11, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
B

Fluminense
1 - 0
Bahia

Nene (71' pen.)
Barcelos (45+1'), Digao (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Danielzinho (53'), Fonseca (90+5'), Antonio (90+5')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawBahia
40.66%27.83%31.51%
Both teams to score 47.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15%78.84%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.92%28.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25%63.74%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14%33.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47%70.52%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 40.65%
    Bahia 31.51%
    Draw 27.82%
FluminenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 7.67%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.65%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 31.51%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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