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FA
Scottish League One | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7pm UK
Station Park
EF

Forfar
2 - 3
East Fife

Fenwick (11'), Scally (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davidson (14'), Murdoch (50'), Brown (90')
Newton (75')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Forfar Athletic and East Fife.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawEast Fife
29.81%25.61%44.58%
Both teams to score 53.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83%50.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87%72.13%
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07%30.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78%67.23%
East Fife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55%22.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.01%55.99%
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 29.81%
    East Fife 44.58%
    Draw 25.61%
Forfar AthleticDrawEast Fife
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-1 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 29.81%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.58%

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