SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
45.49% ( 0.04) | 25.21% ( -0.01) | 29.29% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% ( 0.02) | 48.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% ( 0.02) | 70.83% ( -0.02) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( 0.03) | 21.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.56% ( 0.04) | 54.44% ( -0.04) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( -0.01) | 30.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( -0.01) | 66.78% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.3% |
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