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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Castelao
AM

Fortaleza
2 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

David (37'), Melo (85')
Felipe (32'), David (67'), Dias (69')
Felipe (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sasha (42')
Sasha (44'), Mariano (72'), Keno (90+5')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Atletico Mineiro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawAtletico Mineiro
28.14%26.89%44.96%
Both teams to score 48.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99%56.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9%77.1%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76%35.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28%71.99%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 28.14%
    Atletico Mineiro 44.96%
    Draw 26.89%
FortalezaDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 4.76%
3-1 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.14%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 12.18%
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 8.49%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.96%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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