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Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Oct 19, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
P

Fortaleza
2 - 0
Palmeiras

David (35', 41')
Melo (45+3'), Paulao (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rafael (63'), Vina (81'), Gomez (90+2')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Palmeiras.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 45.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawPalmeiras
26.34%28.54%45.12%
Both teams to score 43.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.44%62.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.85%82.15%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64%40.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02%76.98%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25%27.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68%63.32%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 26.34%
    Palmeiras 45.11%
    Draw 28.54%
FortalezaDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 5.91%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 1.79%
3-0 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 26.34%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 14.35%
0-2 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-3 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.26%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 45.11%


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