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Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
P

Sittard
1 - 3
PSV

Cox (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zahavi (10', 27'), Madueke (87')
Viergever (35'), Sangare (43')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-3 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawPSV Eindhoven
18.63%19.35%62.02%
Both teams to score 62.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.99%33.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.26%54.73%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18%30.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91%67.09%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7%10.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3%33.7%
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 18.63%
    PSV Eindhoven 62.02%
    Draw 19.35%
Fortuna SittardDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5%
1-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.23%
2-0 @ 2.2%
3-1 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 18.63%
1-1 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 5.68%
0-0 @ 3.17%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.35%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-3 @ 7.32%
0-1 @ 7.21%
0-3 @ 6.21%
2-3 @ 4.31%
1-4 @ 4.16%
0-4 @ 3.53%
2-4 @ 2.45%
1-5 @ 1.89%
0-5 @ 1.61%
2-5 @ 1.11%
3-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 62.02%

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