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FL
Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
ML

Fulham
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Wilson (29')
Mitrovic (1'), Wilson (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bola (77')
McNair (16'), Ikpeazu (36'), Bola (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
FulhamDrawMiddlesbrough
33.72%28.33%37.96%
Both teams to score 46.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.43%59.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.09%79.91%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97%33.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38%69.62%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69%30.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51%66.5%
Score Analysis
    Fulham 33.71%
    Middlesbrough 37.96%
    Draw 28.32%
FulhamDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.01%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 11.95%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 1.74%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.96%

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