SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for GAIS in this match.
| Result | ||
| GAIS | Draw | Sirius |
47.24% ( -0.01) | 23.8% ( -0) | 28.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.32% ( 0.02) | 42.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.92% ( 0.02) | 65.08% ( -0.02) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( 0) | 18.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.7% ( 0.01) | 49.29% ( -0.01) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( 0.01) | 27.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% ( 0.02) | 63.27% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| GAIS | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.24% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.95% |
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