SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Elfsborg |
55.23% ( -0.28) | 21.5% ( 0.05) | 23.27% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.14% ( 0.06) | 36.86% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.96% ( 0.07) | 59.04% ( -0.06) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( -0.06) | 13.37% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.74% ( -0.13) | 40.26% ( 0.14) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( 0.23) | 28.88% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( 0.28) | 64.75% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.81% Total : 55.23% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 23.27% |
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