SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Genk had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
34.15% ( -0.28) | 24.25% ( 0.13) | 41.6% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.03% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( -0.69) | 42.53% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.69) | 64.93% ( 0.7) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -0.48) | 24.4% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( -0.68) | 58.82% ( 0.69) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -0.22) | 20.59% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( -0.35) | 53.14% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.15% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 41.6% |
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