SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
62.77% ( -0.27) | 19.52% ( 0.11) | 17.71% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.51% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.54% ( -0.25) | 35.46% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.28) | 57.51% ( 0.28) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.18% ( -0.14) | 10.82% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.11% ( -0.32) | 34.89% ( 0.32) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( 0.02) | 33.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.12% ( 0.02) | 69.88% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.88% Total : 62.77% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.52% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 17.71% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
