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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
NL

Genoa
2 - 1
Napoli

Pandev (11', 26')
Badelj (29'), Czyborra (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Politano (79')
Lozano (74'), Rui (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawNapoli
15.81%19.43%64.76%
Both teams to score 55.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.28%38.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.97%61.03%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5%37.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72%74.28%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74%11.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.16%35.84%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 15.81%
    Napoli 64.76%
    Draw 19.43%
GenoaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 4.44%
1-0 @ 4.14%
2-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.58%
3-1 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 15.81%
1-1 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 4.84%
0-0 @ 4.22%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.43%
0-2 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-1 @ 9.22%
0-3 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 7.19%
0-4 @ 4%
1-4 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 3.53%
2-4 @ 1.93%
0-5 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 1.72%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 64.76%

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