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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
HV

Genoa
2 - 2
Hellas Verona

Shomurodov (48'), Badelj (90+3')
Strootman (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ilic (17'), Faraoni (61')
Cetin (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawHellas Verona
36.13%26.3%37.57%
Both teams to score 53.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53%51.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72%73.27%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53%27.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03%62.96%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36%26.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12%61.87%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 36.13%
    Hellas Verona 37.57%
    Draw 26.29%
GenoaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-2 @ 6.4%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.57%

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