Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
