Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
