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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Union

Guiffrey (55')
Contin (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Gimnasia and Union.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawUnion
33.88%28.71%37.41%
Both teams to score 45.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.11%60.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09%80.91%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39%33.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74%70.25%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69%31.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33%67.67%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 33.88%
    Union 37.4%
    Draw 28.7%
GimnasiaDrawUnion
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 7.26%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.7%
0-1 @ 12.21%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 7.1%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 37.4%

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