Gimnasia
0 - 5
Velez Sarsfield

Morales (20'), Melluso (43'), Perez Garcia (59'), Coronel (70')
Melluso (78')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Tarragona (12'), Centurion (42', 44'), Bouzat (84'), Almada (85')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Gimnasia and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
32.45%	26.38%	41.18%

Both teams to score 52.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.64%

52.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.95%

74.05%

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78%

30.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.62%

66.38%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91%

25.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22%

59.78%

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 32.45%

Velez Sarsfield 41.18%

Draw 26.37%

Gimnasia	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 9.07% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 2.07% Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.45%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.18%