SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | Oulu |
43.52% ( -0.12) | 23.42% ( -0.22) | 33.05% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( 1.21) | 38.89% ( -1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% ( 1.26) | 61.21% ( -1.26) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( 0.44) | 18.26% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.69% ( 0.74) | 49.31% ( -0.74) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( 0.78) | 23.3% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% ( 1.12) | 57.25% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.69% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.05% |
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