SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goztepe SK win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goztepe SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Goztepe SK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Goztepe SK | Draw | Sivasspor |
55.74% ( 0.91) | 24.63% ( -0.51) | 19.63% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.42% ( 1.38) | 54.58% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% ( 1.14) | 75.92% ( -1.13) |
| Goztepe SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( 0.9) | 19.51% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.61% ( 1.46) | 51.39% ( -1.45) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.59% ( 0.36) | 42.4% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.21% ( 0.3) | 78.79% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Goztepe SK | Draw | Sivasspor |
| 1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.63% |
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