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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 13, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
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Granada
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Molina (71')
Molina (41'), Brice Eteki (53'), Quina (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Modric (17'), Rodrygo (45+1'), Odriozola (75'), Benzema (76')
Militao (38'), Modric (49'), Nacho (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawReal Madrid
15.89%21.55%62.56%
Both teams to score 48.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99%48.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82%70.18%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.94%43.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66%79.34%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24%14.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57%43%
Score Analysis
    Granada 15.89%
    Real Madrid 62.56%
    Draw 21.54%
GranadaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 5.36%
2-1 @ 4.32%
2-0 @ 2.26%
3-1 @ 1.21%
3-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 15.89%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 12.16%
0-2 @ 11.63%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-3 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 6.25%
0-4 @ 3.55%
1-4 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-5 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.26%
1-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 62.56%

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