Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
