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League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
W

Grimsby Town
1 - 4
Walsall

Wilson (87')
McEachran (35'), Carson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Matt (56'), Jellis (69'), Lowe (74'), Johnson (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Walsall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawWalsall
29.41% (1.433 1.43) 25.15% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 45.44% (-1.497 -1.5)
Both teams to score 54.84% (0.742 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (0.534 0.53)48.4% (-0.534 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.487 0.49)70.53% (-0.48700000000001 -0.49)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (1.325 1.33)30.31% (-1.325 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (1.555 1.56)66.49% (-1.555 -1.56)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.44 -0.44)21.31% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.685 -0.69)54.26% (0.685 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 29.41%
    Walsall 45.44%
    Draw 25.15%
Grimsby TownDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.263 0.26)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.202 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.154 0.15)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.41%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.385 -0.39)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 45.44%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Bromley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-6 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 4-0 Colchester
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Leicester (0-3 pen.)
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, September 17 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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