Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
